Dyson on climate modellers

The Australian Climate Sceptics Party has latched onto an email correspondence between the Independent’s Steve Connor and scientist Freeman Dyson. Dyson has some good points on the perception of “consensus”.

“Among my friends, I do not find much of a consensus. Most of us are sceptical and do not pretend to be experts. My impression is that the experts are deluded because they have been studying the details of climate models for 30 years and they come to believe the models are real. After 30 years they lose the ability to think outside the models. And it is normal for experts in a narrow area to think alike and develop a settled dogma. The dogma is sometimes right and sometimes wrong.”

Dyson is one of the world’s most respected scientists and a skeptic on man-made global warming. This would explain John Mitchell of the UK’s met office’s statement; “People underestimate the power of models. Observational evidence is not very useful…Our approach is not entirely empirical.”

Being that climate science is derived from a number of fields of science – geology, physics, oceanography, meteorology, astrophysics, biology, atmospheric sciences, chemistry, ect – it is easy to see how some can develop a narrow perspective.

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About Climate Nonconformist

Hi, I'm the climatenonconformist (not my real name), and I am a global warming skeptic, among the few in generation Y. With Australia facing the prospect of a carbon tax, we need to be asking the simple question; where is the evidence that our emissions are causing any dangerous warming?
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