Why the alarm at rising sea level?

The Geelong Advertiser is hyperventilating about sea level rises in the Torquay, Anglesea area.

RISING seas will inundate homes in Torquay and Anglesea and devastate the Great Ocean Road within 40 years, new forecasting suggests.

Federal Corangamite MP Darren Cheeseman yesterday delivered an early preview of a coastal vulnerability study that will foreshadow what will happen to the 55km stretch of coastline between Torquay and Lorne if seas rise 20-80cm.

Speaking as parliamentary debate about Labor’s carbon tax continued in Canberra, Mr Cheeseman who commissioned the study said this estimation was scientifically realistic.

Don’t worry Geelong, Cheeseman’s on the case. He’ll stop that maniac ocean with his carbon tax.

As Bolt points out however, global sea levels have shown no acceleration trend, despite all the carbon dioxide we’ve pumped into the atmosphere. Extrapolation of this rate over the last 18 years (3.2mm/year) gives us 128mm in 40 years time. That of course is the eustatic change in sea level, which is distinct from the local change. That however is primarily influenced by the movement of the land, nothing to do with global warming. How then do they justify this alarmist claim of 80cm? But as Watson found, sea level rises are decelerating.

I am always bafflled why rising sea levels incite so much panic. It’s not as though its going to happen overnight and drown everyone (although Hollywood does a good job of portraying that in The Day After Tomorrow). Forty years sounds like plenty of time for the property market to respond.

Unless if Robyn Williams is right, and we’re heading for a 100m sea level rise, I think adaption would be so much more prefferable to mitigation, even if you accept the IPCC is right.

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About Climate Nonconformist

Hi, I'm the climatenonconformist (not my real name), and I am a global warming skeptic, among the few in generation Y. With Australia facing the prospect of a carbon tax, we need to be asking the simple question; where is the evidence that our emissions are causing any dangerous warming?
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4 Responses to Why the alarm at rising sea level?

  1. Frances says:

    All anyone has to do is check Google earth to see that the land mass is not changing because of rising seas. Water always seeks its own level, if the water was rising, it would be noticeable universally. Cliffs can erode because of the seas breaking against them, but the seas themselves are not rising. I am so sick of these ‘Chicken Little’s’ who cry ‘The Sky is Falling” or in this case “The Seas are Rising”.

    There were claims that the island of Iribati was sinking under the rising waters, but Kiribat is the remains of an undersea volcano, and volcanoes can chang when tectonic plates move.

    “The widely scattered nation of Kiribati, pronounced “Kir-ee-bahs,” located in the Pacific Ocean along the edges of the Equator, includes the Gilbert, Phoenix and Line island groups. Most are uninhabited.

    These low-lying coral atolls, (33 in all) are the protruding tips of undersea volcanoes, and extend only a few feet above sea level.” Nauru is smaller than it used to be, because it was primarily made of ‘bird poo’ (phosphates) which was mined by the Nauruan People. The Phosphates have been taken now, so they need another source of income, so it makes a lot of sense for them to desire to house the Australian ‘Detentionc entre’ there to provide them with ongoing income.
    http://www.worldatlas.com/webimage/countrys/oceania/ki.htm

  2. fred nerk says:

    I have lived ,fished and surfed on the East Coast of Australia for 50 of my 60 years and do you really want to know about sea level rise Well I reckon that idiot D(T)im Flannery should be safe for “the term of his natural life” I’ve seen no sign of any sea level rise.CO2 is life

  3. Richard A says:

    Given that MP Darren Cheeseman is obviously unaware of his climate change “guru” Tim Flannery’s dismissive statement on rising sea level when recently outed over his lapping water front abode, one can only assume the MP also has little knowledge on implications on the carbon tax legislation.

  4. Pingback: Alarmism over climate refugees | Climate Nonconformist

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