The Geelong Advertiser is hyperventilating about sea level rises in the Torquay, Anglesea area.
RISING seas will inundate homes in Torquay and Anglesea and devastate the Great Ocean Road within 40 years, new forecasting suggests.
Federal Corangamite MP Darren Cheeseman yesterday delivered an early preview of a coastal vulnerability study that will foreshadow what will happen to the 55km stretch of coastline between Torquay and Lorne if seas rise 20-80cm.
Speaking as parliamentary debate about Labor’s carbon tax continued in Canberra, Mr Cheeseman who commissioned the study said this estimation was scientifically realistic.
Don’t worry Geelong, Cheeseman’s on the case. He’ll stop that maniac ocean with his carbon tax.
As Bolt points out however, global sea levels have shown no acceleration trend, despite all the carbon dioxide we’ve pumped into the atmosphere. Extrapolation of this rate over the last 18 years (3.2mm/year) gives us 128mm in 40 years time. That of course is the eustatic change in sea level, which is distinct from the local change. That however is primarily influenced by the movement of the land, nothing to do with global warming. How then do they justify this alarmist claim of 80cm? But as Watson found, sea level rises are decelerating.
I am always bafflled why rising sea levels incite so much panic. It’s not as though its going to happen overnight and drown everyone (although Hollywood does a good job of portraying that in The Day After Tomorrow). Forty years sounds like plenty of time for the property market to respond.
Unless if Robyn Williams is right, and we’re heading for a 100m sea level rise, I think adaption would be so much more prefferable to mitigation, even if you accept the IPCC is right.